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Post by drdre on Aug 13, 2018 23:50:21 GMT
The risk of killing Sheep is too high, right?
Are we fucked?
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Post by drdre on Aug 14, 2018 0:00:58 GMT
Actually, our only hope is Sheep scanning Red huh
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Post by red13n on Aug 14, 2018 6:35:49 GMT
our only hope has been ride FD To the end since FD did the thing.
I honestly dont know what to do. If we believe elite BG...we're pretty screwed. 2 BG's seemed balance to me in this setup. Elite BG....not so much. He actually should have hid the elite part of his role even.
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Post by drdre on Aug 14, 2018 16:24:07 GMT
Even if it works, riding FD out to the end just doesn’t seem sportsmanlike. He’s surviving purely on meta, and I think if he hadn’t done the thing he’d have been lynched well before you, Red.
Try to kill Sheep, you probably die in the process.
Kill Sultan, bank on a Red scan, you get lynched tomorrow on account of Sultan being confirmed.
Kill someone loud like Puns, hope the confusion pushes a Sultan mislynch and we can safely kill Sheep tomorrow.
Pretty much every option gives Sheep a scan, so a lot of this is out of our hands.
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Post by drdre on Aug 14, 2018 16:30:49 GMT
Which btw, I don’t think it will work.
When Sheep flips, with Red flipped, he will have confirmed multiple people Town.
Eventually FD’s time will be up, especially if I, the guy everyone has been calling the most Town, flip.
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Post by red13n on Aug 14, 2018 18:14:33 GMT
I mean, maybe we just assume he protects tony and we shoot sheep.
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Post by red13n on Aug 14, 2018 18:16:19 GMT
Its a hail mary either way.
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Post by red13n on Aug 14, 2018 18:17:43 GMT
Tony is likely to die before fd we could always try ninja. Or outright bus me.
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Post by drdre on Aug 14, 2018 22:01:56 GMT
Ok so we basically have to decide if we’re willing to gamble with Red’s life on a long shot, or get a sure kill but definitely lose Red tomorrow.
Red Kills Sheep -> Town probably wants to lynch Red over Sultan. Red shoots Sheep but kills Sultan -> Red dies, Sultan dies. Yikes. (This would hurt double if Sheep comes back with a “lol I scanned Red inno”) Red shoots Sultan directly -> Sultan flips Town, Red probably gets lynched without an inno scan. Red shoots Sultan, gets an inno scan. I’m guessing we lynch Tange over Red. Red shoots someone loud and skilled like Puns. Suspicion on Sheep (Puns was the loudest voice questioning him) Suspicion on Sultan (unless him being Elite somehow soothes Towns worries smh).
90% of the time Sheep’s getting a scan off, so
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Post by fd on Aug 14, 2018 22:48:41 GMT
Sorry i haven't been around for discussing tonight's actions. Im fine with whatever you want and ill have time to participate tonight after work in the new day.
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Post by red13n on Aug 14, 2018 22:55:35 GMT
I think the right play is to play it straight and just shoot and watch sheep.
The correct town play is cop scans whoever, watcher watches cop, bg guards watcher.
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Post by drdre on Aug 14, 2018 23:19:52 GMT
Red kills Sheep Tony watches Sheep
To be clear, if we set this as our final actions...even if you don't kill Sultan, there's no way you survive tomorrow.
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Post by red13n on Aug 14, 2018 23:21:44 GMT
If you want to claim the watch and bus go for it.
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Post by drdre on Aug 14, 2018 23:46:14 GMT
Oh wait, yeah you could be Ninja. If you end up getting lynched somehow, "unscannable" could have applied to my watch too.
I won't bus you, and in fact if you die to Sultan I'll still only claim I saw Sultan to sell the watch with the weird detail.
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Post by red13n on Aug 14, 2018 23:59:22 GMT
Also not to spell gloom and doom but I'm unscannable and the only real scanner claim so far is cop.
Which i might as well just be godfather for instead.
So something is probably missing.
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